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Free Agent Profile: Justin Brazeau

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While many observers are caught up in the college free agent market right now, the prize among undrafted free agents hails from the junior ranks. Justin Brazeau, a 21-year-old winger from the OHL’s North Bay Battalion, is ready to be an impact pro player as soon as his season ends, which could be sooner rather than later.

The OHL regular season has ended and the playoffs are set to get underway, beginning on Thursday. Brazeau suited up in all 68 games for the Battalion this season, recording 61 goals and 113 points. The massive output by the North Bay captain was good enough for the league lead in goals and second in scoring behind only top Dallas Stars prospect Jason Robertson. Yet, it wasn’t enough to place the Battalion among the top teams in the league. North Bay finished seventh in the Eastern Conference and face a daunting match-up with Robertson and the Niagara Ice Dogs in the first round.

If Brazeau and the Battalion do indeed make an early exit – a sweep would end the series by the middle of next week – Brazeau could sign his entry-level contract by the end of the month. Of course, as a junior player he could sign an ELC at any time, but at this point Brazeau seems willing to wait until his final year of juniors is officially over. He has likely had conversations with many teams already, but seems poised to look at all options for the next step in his career.

Brazeau should be able to choose freely any team in the NHL he likes for his first contract. The overage forward is more than just numbers; while many before him have dominated the junior level offensively only to flame out at the pro level, those players tend to be smaller in stature and able to skate around their opposition at the junior level. Brazeau is a different type of player entirely. At 6’6″ and 225 lbs., Brazeau is a bona fide power forward. He has great skill and offensive instincts, but can hold his own defensively with great size and strength. In fact, maybe the only weakness that could prevent him from continuing to be a contributor in the NHL is his skating. If he can improve upon his ability to get back and forth, Brazeau can be dangerous in both ends.

Potential Suitors

The short answer is that all 31 teams have likely checked in on Brazeau. A junior player of both this size and production are few and far in between and all of the NHL is on alert that Brazeau could be a special player. At the cost of an entry-level contract, it would be silly for any team not to take a chance on the big scoring forward.

However, there are some leaders in the pursuit. Of course, the Toronto Maple Leafs are always a top contender. An Ontario native, Brazeau could have the opportunity to play on a top team close to home, while the Leafs are desperate for affordable help as they face an impending cap crunch and could afford to add some more size up front as well. Similarly, Brazeau could choose to play relatively nearby in Ottawa, as the Senators need all the help they can get and Brazeau could immediately take on a major role.

Brazeau also has some history with a pair of NHL teams. The undrafted product did spend time at development camp with both the San Jose Sharks and Columbus Blue Jackets over the past few years and may have maintained relationships with those clubs. Both the Sharks and the Blue Jackets are talented teams on which Brazeau could find immediate success.

However, San Jose and Columbus, as well as Toronto, are deep up front. Brazeau wants to play as soon as possible and may not get that chance this season with one of those three teams. The Boston Bruins and Pittsburgh Penguins are two top contenders who do have flexibility in the top-nine and could be willing to give Brazeau a shot right away. The New York Rangers aren’t at the same competitive level as those teams, but are shockingly thin at right wing and Brazeau could hypothetically play

Projected Contract

Brazeau is going to sign an entry-level contract, so there is a limit on both base salary and potential bonuses, both of which he will likely max out. It will also be a three-year term, per the CBA. The key to signing the power forward will instead be who is willing or even able to burn the first year of the contract this season. Brazeau has shown that he has the size, skill, and competitive nature to play in the NHL and will want to prove that right away. The potential future star will also want to get another year closer to making real money. If a team can promise Brazeau play time this year, it will go a long way in locking him up. If such a landing spot doesn’t exist, he could opt for a team with which he can play the greatest role next season.

Snapshots: Three Stars, Malkin, Sandin

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The NHL has released their three stars for last week, and another New York Islanders goaltender has taken the top spot. After Robin Lehner was honored earlier this season, Thomas Greiss has now been given the top spot after stopping 116 of 121 shots to go 3-1 last week. The 33-year old Greiss is having the best season of his career under Barry Trotz’ disciplined system, and now has a .928 save percentage through 40 appearances.

While Connor McDavid appearing in the third spot won’t surprise many, Brendan Perlini’s name in second certainly will. The former Arizona Coyotes forward struggled upon joining the Chicago Blackhawks this season, but has found the back of the net in three consecutive games and five of his last seven. That included a hat trick last week against his former club, and he now sits at 13 goals on the season.

  • The Pittsburgh Penguins will be without one of their top players after Evgeni Malkin was listed as “week-to-week” last night by head coach Mike Sullivan. Somewhat quietly, Malkin is having another outstanding season with 71 points through his first 66 games and is a huge part of the Pittsburgh attack. The team will have to rely on their other superstars for the time being and hope the big Russian center can get healthy in time for the playoffs.
  • While the Toronto Maple Leafs have struggled to keep the puck out of their net since Jake Gardiner and Travis Dermott suffered injuries (and perhaps even before that), they won’t rush top defensive prospect Rasmus Sandin to the NHL. Sandin has been on fire recently for the Toronto Marlies and now has 23 points through 36 games as a teenager, but head coach Mike Babcock reiterated the organization’s mantra to over-ripen prospects at the minor league level before bringing them up. Babcock pointed to Kasperi Kapanen and Andreas Johnsson as examples of how the Maple Leafs development program has worked, and noted that there are still “good players” on the NHL roster. Sandin was the 29th overall pick last June and turned 19 earlier this month.

Bryan Rust Nearing A Return, Zach Aston-Reese Out Longer-Term

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  • The Penguins got some good news and bad news on the injury front. Matt Vensel of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette notes that winger Bryan Rust participated in full practice for the first time since suffering a lower-body injury late last month and that he has been upgraded to day-to-day.  Rust was supposed to be out longer-term than this so his expected availability over the next few days is certainly a positive though he isn’t playing today.  However, head coach Mike Sullivan stated that winger Zach Aston-Reese, who was listed as day-to-day, is now out for the longer term and that he is merely hopeful that the 24-year-old will be able to return this season.

Jake Lucchini Signs With Pittsburgh Penguins

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The Pittsburgh Penguins have dipped into the undrafted college free agent market once again, this time signing Jake Lucchini out of Michigan Tech University to a one-year entry-level contract. The deal will not kick in until 2019-20, but Lucchini will join the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins on an amateur tryout for the remainder of this season.

Lucchini, 23, is a Hobey Baker nominee this season and has put up 26 points in 38 games as captain of Michigan Tech. He also previously captained the legendary Trail Smoke Eaters of the BCHL, where he recorded 83 points in 58 games during his final season. Lucchini took part in the Penguins development camp last summer, and will now join the organization as another no-risk lottery ticket.

Given the team’s success over the last several years and lack of high-end draft picks, the Penguins have continually added to their organization through college free agency. Conor Sheary, Zach Aston-Reese, Casey DeSmith, Chad Ruhwedel and Carter Rowney all come to mind as assets that the team acquired for nothing but a contract, and have played big parts on the team over the last few years. There’s no guarantee that Lucchini can make that kind of impact, but they’ll take a chance on him like they have so many others.

Pittsburgh Penguins Sign Justin Almeida To Entry-Level Deal

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The Pittsburgh Penguins announced they have signed forward Justin Almeida to a three-year entry-level contract. The team’s fifth-round pick from 2018, who is currently playing with Moose Jaw Warriors of the WHL, will begin next season when he turns pro.

The Penguins have been busy in the last couple of days, signing 2017 fifth-rounder Jan Drozg to an entry-level deal and being immersed in trying to sign some college free agents, including forward Josh Wilkins. With the team having traded away their second, third, fourth and sixth-round picks in the 2019 draft, the team must bring in as much talent as possible for future years.

The 5-foot-11, 165-pound Almeida had a breakout season during the 2017-18 season when he scored 43 goals and 96 points in 72 games for Moose Jaw after an 11-goal, 28-point season in 2016-17. That season got him drafted in the fifth round. While he has just 28 goals this season, well shy of last season, the rest of his game has come around as Almeida has 69 assists, which leads the WHL. He currently has 96 points so far this season, which is fourth in the WHL.

 

Penguins Interested In Josh Wilkins

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The Penguins have been active in college free agency in the past with players like Zach Aston-Reese, Thomas DiPauli, and Adam Johnson all signing in recent years.  It appears that they have their eyes set on the NCAA market once again as Jason Mackey of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette noted in a reader chat that they have interest in Providence center Josh Wilkins.

The 21-year-old is in his junior season with the Friars and has been a consistent producer in each of his three years.  He recorded 31 points in each of his first two years and improved on that this season as he surpassed the point-per-game mark with 36 points (14-22-36) in just 34 contests.  Pittsburgh has certainly had plenty of opportunities to view Wilkins as he’s a teammate of 2016 second round selection Kasper Bjorkqvist.

Providence is set to kick off the Hockey East playoffs as the number two seed next week and a win in their first round matchup against Boston College would go a long way towards getting them a berth in the regionals with an eye on qualifying for the Frozen Four tournament.  The regionals don’t get underway until the end of the month so while Pittsburgh has interest in Wilkins, they may have to wait a little while yet before getting a chance to sign him.

Strength Of Schedule And The Eastern Conference Wild Card Race

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The Tampa Bay Lightning had a chance to clinch a playoff spot last night on the first Thursday in March. While it didn’t go their way, the Bolts are undoubtedly going to be the top seed in the Eastern Conference and are well on their way to a President’s Trophy with a 15-point lead on the next-best team in the league. That next team up is the Boston Bruins, who are second only to Tampa in both the NHL and within their own Atlantic Division. Riding an 18-game point streak, the Bruins’ playoff position is also in little doubt. The Toronto Maple Leafs, currently holding a top-five record in the league, are on pace to finish third in their own division and without home ice in the first round of the playoffs. Boston and Toronto seem destined to meet in that opening round, with the winner likely getting Tampa Bay as their reward for moving on.

As frustrating as the current playoff format may be for the Leafs – as well as the Bruins and Lightning – at least the three teams know where they stand in the postseason structure with a month to go in the regular season. The same can’t be said for the rest of the Eastern Conference contenders. Just eight points separate the New York Islanders, the current Metropolitan Division leaders, from the Columbus Blue Jackets, presently in ninth in the East and on the outside of the playoff picture, in the standings. Between the two are three more Metropolitan teams, as well as the Atlantic’s Montreal Canadiens. With all six of these competitors struggling to pull away from the rest of the group, it could be that each team’s schedule down the stretch determines where they end up by the end of the regular season. Three divisional spots and two wild card spots are up for grabs; who has the luck of the schedule on their side?

According to the strength of schedule numbers released by the NHL this morning, the Pittsburgh Penguins’ opposing points percentage of .555 is the most favorable of the group. That’s not to say the Pens face an easy slate, though. Pittsburgh faces eight current playoff teams in their final 15 games, not including tomorrow night’s tilt against Columbus, but end the year with a nice stretch that includes a home-and-home against the lowly Red Wings and a final match-up against the Rangers. The experienced Penguins team is a safe bet to stay in the playoff picture, especially if they can get healthy on the back end.

The Montreal Canadiens have a similarly easy schedule, a .575 opposing points percentage, but with a dramatically different ending. Fighting for just one of two wild card spots, the Habs will face eight current playoff teams themselves, again not including a game against the Blue Jackets, but only three of those contests are within their next nine games. Montreal may get a nice boost over the next couple of weeks, but face a daunting final stretch; Columbus, Winnipeg, Tampa, Washington, and Toronto await them in their final five games. How they fare against those Cup contenders could determine whether they make or miss the postseason.

With just seven current playoff teams on the schedule from here on out, not including two run-ins with Columbus, the New York Islanders are in good shape with a .567 opposing points percentage. The team also avoids any road trips of longer than two games for the rest of the season. While a regular season finale against the Capitals could prove critical, the Islanders look as if they should be able to hold on to their playoff spot. The health of Robin Lehner could be a game-changer, though.

Things have not gone as expected since Jarmo Kekalainen and the Columbus Blue Jackets went all out at the trade deadline. The team sits outside of the playoff picture currently, two points back of the final wild card spot, and there is no guarantee that things will get better. The Jackets have a .581 opposing points percentage, including ten games against current playoff teams, and play just six of their final 15 games at home. Perhaps the one saving grace will be trips to Buffalo, the Rangers, and Ottawa in three of their last four games, but Columbus has their work cut out for them.

The Carolina Hurricanes have a similarly tough schedule, but benefit from having a game or two in hand on their playoff berth competition. In their final 16 games, the ’Canes will face opposition with a .586 points percentage, ten of which are playoff teams. They also have three sets of back-to-back games remaining. However, with the cushion of extra games and dates with the Devils and Flyers to round out the year, the red-hot Hurricanes are on pace to erase their league-worst nine-year playoff drought.

Finally, there are the defending champs. The Washington Capitals not only have the most difficult remaining schedule in the East’s wild card race, but in the entire NHL. At a .599 opposing points percentage, the Caps are about to go through the ringer in their final 15 games. Ten playoff teams are on the docket for Washington, including three games against the powerhouse Lightning and five playoff teams among their final six competitors. Fortunately, the team does play more than half of their remaining match-ups at home, but there’s little else to find comfort in. If any team in this race is at risk of a dramatic fall from their current playoff position, it is the Capitals, especially if the extra work of last year’s Stanley Cup run starts to catch up to them down the stretch.

Kris Letang Resumes Skating

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  • Penguins defenseman Kris Letang skated with teammates for the first time since suffering an upper-body injury just over a week ago, reports Jonathan Bombulie of the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. However, there remains no firm timetable for his return.  Pittsburgh could certainly use their number one blueliner as they remain in a dogfight for a playoff spot in the tight Eastern Conference.  Fortunately for them, they got one defender back tonight as Brian Dumoulin returned after missing the past three games with a concussion.

Penguins Sign Jan Drozg To Entry-Level Contract

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Monday: The Penguins have officially announced the contract.

Sunday: The Pittsburgh Penguins have signed a recent draft pick to his entry-level contract. Whispers emerged early last month that 2017 fifth-round choice Jan Drozg, a right wing for the QMJHL’s Shawinigan Cataractes, was close to signing his rookie deal with Pittsburgh, but it was unclear whether the pact would begin this year or next. CapFriendly reports that the three-year deal has been completed and it does in fact begin with the 2019-20 season. The Penguins have yet to confirm the signing.

Drozg’s ELC carries an AAV of $925K, but a base salary of just $700K in the first two years and $750K in the final year. The young forward, who turns 20 next month, will be supplemented by a $278K signing bonus, as well as performance bonuses of up to $132,500 in the first two seasons and $82,500 in the final season. Of course, none of this is guaranteed to begin next season, as Drozg has a year of junior eligibility remaining and could be a candidate for an entry-level slide next year if the Penguins decide they would prefer for him to return to the QMJHL.

Drozg, who stands tall but slight at 6’2″ and 174 pounds, became just the seventh Slovenian player drafted and the highest selection outside of Anze Kopitar when the Penguins took him 152nd overall in 2017 out of the Swedish junior ranks. A fast, hard-working forward, Drozg is omnipresent on the ice and helps to create a lot of offense for the Cataractes, a team that lacks much game-breaking talent. Last season, Drozg made the jump to North America after being selected by Shawinigan in the first round of the CHL Import Draft and immediately made his presence felt, leading the team with 50 points in 61 games. The effort even earned him a tryout game with the AHL’s Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins, in which he notched an assist. Drozg has outdone himself this year, scoring at a point-per-game pace to again lead the Cataractes with 52 points in 53 games thus far. Making Drozg’s accomplishments more impressive is the fact that Shawinigan has been arguably the worst team in the QMJHL over the past two years and Drozg’s offensive potential has a much higher ceiling once he is surrounded by superior talent. As such, the Penguins could opt to start Drozg in the AHL next season rather than return him to junior, as putting him in a competent lineup may be the best thing for the young winger’s development. If he can continue to produce consistently at the pro level as he has in junior, Pittsburgh may have found a diamond in the rough in the late-round forward.

Atlantic Notes: Senators, Kadri, Howard, Rosen

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With Guy Boucher out as head coach in Ottawa Friday, and 18 games left in the season, the young Ottawa Senators must make a quick decision on their head coaching job this summer. The team gave the interim tag to Marc Crawford, but unless he can turn around the franchise in those 18 games, the Sporting News’ Murray Pam writes that general manager Pierre Dorion may opt to look for a new voice to coach the franchise.

Among the top potential candidates that could take over this summer, Pam suggests that 66-year-old Jacques Martin could be an interesting candidate that can give the team a fresh voice. The veteran coach, who was raised in Saint-Pascal, Ont., not far from Ottawa, has been an assistant coach with the Pittsburgh Penguins for the last six years, 31 years of NHL experience and has two Stanley Cup rings.

One obvious candidate could also come from within as the Belleville Senators’ head coach, Troy Mann, who has done an impressive job in his first year as head coach of the AHL franchise and already knows many of the players on the team’s roster. His recent track record is the most interesting as he has led the team to a 16-game unbeaten streak as the team has gone 11-0-5 and is on the cusp of the AHL playoffs. He’s in his fifth year as an AHL head coach. The scribe throws in several other candidates, including Montreal Canadiens’ assistant Luke Richardson and Columbus Blue Jackets’ assistant Brad Shaw.

  • Despite missing his sixth straight game Saturday, Toronto Maple Leafs Nazem Kadri, who has been out with a concussion, seems to be improving. According to The Star’s Kevin McGran, Kadri skated this morning, which is a good sign for his recovery. “Obviously, our medical staff has to do a good job with those guys and keep them out as long as they’re supposed to be out,” said Leafs coach Mike Babcock. “I think it’s obviously good for him to be out there, just morale-wise. It looks like he’s going in the right direction. I didn’t talk to the coaches since he’s been out, just to see what kind of skate they were able to give him and what he was able to handle. (We’ll) still monitor that and see, and then we’ll see how hard we can push him. I don’t know when he’s ready.”
  • Detroit Red Wings goaltender Jimmy Howard has struggled immensely in the month of February, posting a 3.97 GAA and a .866 save percentage in nine games. On top of that, he has been pulled from his last three games, not exactly what you’d expect from a goaltender who represented the Atlantic Division at the All-Star Game. However, don’t expect the veteran to give up. Howard has spent countless hours studying video of his play, trying to figure out what’s gone wrong, according to Dana Gauruder of the Detroit Free Press. “To be honest, going through the video, it’s just being off by a fraction,” he said. “Not having the correct angle. When you don’t have that as a goalie, guys can put the puck in tight areas and that’s what’s happened.”
  • With recent injuries to Toronto Maple Leafs’ defensemen Travis Dermott and Jake Gardiner, many fans have wondered why Toronto hasn’t turned to promising young defenseman Calle Rosen. The 25-year-old has been tearing up the AHL with the Toronto Marlies this year and signed a two-year extension with the team back in December. However, Rosen can’t be recalled yet, according to the Toronto Sun’s Lance Hornby, because he took a puck off his foot a few days ago and isn’t ready to return to the ice just yet. Regardless, Rosen, who has seven goals and 44 points in 52 games with the Marlies, could be called up soon.

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